Maj. Gen. (Retd.) Afsir Karim
AAKROSH. January 2007. Volume 10. Number 34
The White House has persistently refused to enter into a dialogue with Iran or Syria; on the other hand, by all indications, the US plans to use force against those countries. This will expand the conflict beyond Iraqi borders, and spread violence to several new areas. The tough rhetoric followed by the second military raid involving Iranian officials in Iraq is a sign of escalation in the US-Iran confrontation that could further complicate rather than calm the situation in the region.
In Somalia a combination of Ethiopian and Somalian government forces managed to drive away the Islamists but the problem is that the interim government of Somalia lacks popular support, while the Islamists enjoy immense popularity among the people. The Ethiopian troops have provided only a temporary reprieve to the Somalian government. The Islamist militias have not been defeated, and the resentment caused by external intervention will undoubtedly increase the influence of the radical elements who will bide their time till Ethiopian forces leave.
Various subnational groups who are using unconventional tactics have been able to frustrate the neatly laid down operational plans of the conventional forces in several parts of the world. The dynamics of emerging asymmetrical strategies that have the potential to render the superior military capability of an adversary redundant must be fully understood for adopting the method of warfare that should be used against them.